MAY 31 WEEKLY CHARTS POST!

CAPTAIN EWAVE LONG TERM CHARTS UPDATE!

 

Note: Next morning Post will be June 01,2021, due to the Memorial Day holiday in the USA today, May 31st, 2021

 

Gold: 

 

Weekly Gold Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay3021gold.png  

Long Term Update:

 

Gold was higher this past week reaching a high of 1915.60 and closing at 1905.30!

                                                                          

We continue to rally sharply higher in wave ^iii^.

 

The next resistance is at our red horizontal line which is at the 1906/1966 level.

 

In the short term a run to the 1935/1940 is likely.

                                                                             

Our next projected endpoint for all of wave -iii- is:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 1952.40.

 

After wave -iii- ends we expect a wave -iv- correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entire wave -iii- rally.

 

Our initial projection for the end of wave ^iii^ is:

 

^iii^ = 1.618^i^ = 2687.80.

 

Longer term our current initial projected endpoint for all of wave *iii* is:                                                 

 

*iii* = 1.618*iii* = 2306.30.

 

We suspect that wave *iii* will likely extend since wave ^iii^ of *iii* is now projected to be higher than the current complete wave *iii* projection.     

                              

Active Positions: Long with puts as stops.  

 

Silver:

 

Weekly Silver Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay3021si.png

 

Long Term Update:

 

Silver moved basically sideways this past week, although we closed higher at 28.01. 

                                                                  

Wave ii is complete at the 21.96 low and we are now rallying higher in wave iii of 3, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

iii = 1.618i = 51.52.

 

Within wave iii, we completed wave (i) at 29.91 and all of wave (ii) at the 23.74 low. We are now rallying in wave (iii) of iii, which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 34.22.

 

We expect higher prices this week.

 

Longer term our initial projection for the end of wave 3 is:

                                                             

3 = 1.618(1) = 86.50   

 

In the very long term we completed all of wave III at 49.00 in 1980 and all of wave IV at 3.55 in 1993. We are now working on wave V and within wave V we have the following count;

 

1 = 49.82;

2 = 11.64;

3 = First projection is 86.50.

 

Active Positions: Long at 14.85, with puts as our stop!

 

US 10 Year Bond Yield:

                                                                                               

Long Term Update:

 

The 10 Year US Bond Yield was lower this past week reaching a lower of 1.579%, closing at 1.581%!

 

It appears that the bear market in US interest is now over and it ended at the 0.398% low.

 

Over the next couple of decades we should be rallying back to the all-time in rates that we saw in the 1980’s.

 

This multi-decade rally should be impulsive, and we are now working on our very first impulsive sequence.

 

Within that impulsive sequence we are rallying in wave (iii) which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

(iii) = 1.618 (i) =1.910%.

 

We expect to move higher in the weeks ahead as we head toward the 1.910% level. We are currently working on the internal subdivision count within wave (iii). After wave (iii) ends we expect a wave (iv) drop that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entire wave (iii) rally.

 

Active Positions: Flat.

 

Crude Oil:

 

Weekly Crude Oil Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay3021oil.png

 

Long Term Update:                                                                          

             

Crude was higher this past week reaching a high of 67.52, closing at 66.32.

 

It now looks like wave -i- is complete at the 67.98 high so we should still be falling in developing wave -ii-, which has the following retracement levels:

 

50% = 50.81

61.8% = 46.81.

 

We are also challenging our multi-year breakout of our major downtrend line. We are still short of retracement levels for our wave -ii- correction, so we do still expect lower prices ahead.

 

We still expect a drop at least back to our 50% retracement level of 50.81, before all of wave -ii- ends.

 

After wave -ii- ends we expect a big rally higher in wave -iii-!

 

We continue to rally in wave -i- of (iii), with all of wave (iii) having and initial projected endpoint of:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 93.96.

 

In the long term we are now rallying in wave C that has the following projections:

 

C= A = 153.77;

C= 1.618A = 244.78.

 

Suncor:                                                                   

 

Weekly Suncor Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay3021su.png

 

Long Term Update:

 

Suncor moved sideways this past week, although we closed lower at 23.10!

 

We continue to rally sharply higher in wave iii. Our initial projection for the end of wave iii is:

 

iii = 1.618i = 30.73.

 

Within wave (i) of iii it looks like wave -i- ended at the 19.94 and likely all of wave -ii- at the 16.29 low. If that is the case then we should now be rallying sharply higher in wave -iii-, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i-=31.29.

 

Active Positions: Long crude, with puts as a stop. Long Suncor!                                

 

SP500:

 

Weekly SP500 Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay3021sp.png

 

Long Term Update:

 

The SP500 was higher this past week reaching a high of 4218.36, closing at 4204.11.

 

From the 3723.34 low we have now completed the minimum requirements for a completed 5 wave impulsive sequence at the 4238.04 high, and we are now working on the assumption that all of wave (iii) of v is complete at that high. We should therefore be falling in wave (iv), which has the following retracement levels;

 

23.6% = 3889.53;

38.2% = 3674.95.

 

It is too early to determine which type of corrective pattern wave (iv) is going to become.

 

Active Positions: Short, with calls as stops!

 

USDX:

 

Weekly USDX Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay3021usd.png

 

Long Term Update:

 

The USDX was marginally lower this past week reaching a low of 89.51, closing at 89.99.

 

We continue to move lower in wave -v-. Expect further losses, with a drop to at least the 88.15 low.

 

Active Positions: Flat!

 

CDNX: 

 

Weekly CDNX Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay3021cdnx.png

 

Long Term Update:

 

The CDNX was higher this past reaching a high of 966.28 and closing on its high of 966.28! We expect a much higher close very soon, and maybe this week!

 

It appears that wave $ii$ is now complete at the 902.36 low. If that is the case then we should start to rally sharply higher in wave $iii$.

 

We will provide our first projections for the end of wave $iii$, when we believe all of the wave $ii$ is complete.

 

Longer term we continue to rally sharply higher in wave .iii. which has an initial endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 1357.02    

 

Wave .iii. is now subdividing and if that is the case then we should now be rallying sharply higher in wave -iii- of .iii. Our initial projected endpoint for all of wave -iii- is:

 

-iii- =1.618-i- = 1592.50.                           

 

Our minimum long term target for the end of wave C is 3341.56.

 

Active Positions: Long the GDXJ, for a long-term hold!

 

GDX: 

 

Weekly GDX Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay3021gdx.png

 

Long Term Update:

 

The GDX moved sideways this past week, and we closed marginally higher at 39.421.

 

The GDX appears to be working on a bullish triangle that should be complete soon!

 

After it ends, we expect a sharp thrust higher.

 

We to rally sharply higher in wave *iii*, which has the following projected endpoint:

 

*iii* = 1.618*i*= 78.63.

 

Within wave *iii*  we are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has the following extended projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- =2.618-i- = 41.70.

 

It now looks like wave -iii- is subdividing with wave $i$ ending at 36.84, and all of wave $ii$ just short of our 50% retracement level at 34.31. We are now rallying in wave $iii$, which has the following initial project endpoint:

 

$iii$ = 1.618$i$ = 42.70.

 

We expect higher prices this week.

 

Our current projection for the end of 3 is:

 

3 = 2.618 (-1-) = 66.37.                                                                                                                     

 

We do have higher targets also.

 

Active Positions: We are long the GDX, ABX, KGC, NEM, SSSR, and TSX:XGD… with no stops and we recently added to our long positions at 31.50!

 

Bitcoin: 

  

Weekly Bitcoin Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay3021bit.png

Long Term Update:

 

Bitcoin was initially higher this past week reaching a high of 40855, although by the end of week we closed lower at 34325!

 

All of wave 1 or A is now complete at the 64860 high. We are now falling in wave 2 of B which has the following retracement levels:

 

50% = 32430;

61.8% = 24777.

 

We have already entered our retracement zone for all of wave 2 or B, so it could be over… but we doubt that it is complete so quickly.

 

Also, on the Daily Chart it looks like form the 64860 high we are falling in an impulsive sequence which does NOT look to be complete at the 29925 low.

 

We need one more drop below that low to satisfy all of the minimum requirements for our first impulsive sequence to be complete.

 

After that happens, we would have completed all of wave (a).

 

After wave (a) ends we expect a wave (b) rally that retraces between 50 to 61.8% of the entire wave (a) drop. After wave (b) ends we expect one more drop in wave (c) to complete all of wave 2 or B.

 

We have graphically shown our suggested path for all of wave 2 or B on our Bitcoin Weekly Chart.

 

Thanks!

Captain & Crew

 

may 28 morning post!

Captain Ewave Morning Post!

 

 

Please click here for the Bob Balan Ewave Basics Handbook… which the Captain highly recommends:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Ewave-Basics.pdf

 

Don’t try to learn Ewave all in one day.  Focus on when the Captain is buying or selling, and the big wave counts.  

From there, add more detail to your study.

 

If any sub needs one-on-one help with the wave counts, just some handholding during market dips, or both, shoot us an Email we’ll work out a phone talk time slot.  Can buy a one-time slot or multi… Thanks, Captain & Crew

 

 

CDNX: 

 

CDNX Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821cdnx.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

The CDNX moved sideways in yesterday’s trading session, although we closed marginally higher at the high of 959.65!

 

Longer term we are continuing to rally higher in wave (i) of -iii-. Within wave (i) we believe we completed wave $i$ of (i) of -iii- at the 999.86 high.

 

If that is the case then we are now dropping in wave $ii$, which has the following retracement levels:

 

78.6% = 895.63.

 

We now need to be on guard for the completion of wave $ii$ at the 902.30 low and the start of a major rally in wave $iii$.

 

Our current short-term challenge is to clear resistance above the sloping line connecting 968.07 and 962.05, which we suspect we might clear very soon!

 

We will provide our first projection for end of wave $iii$, when we believe all of wave $ii$ is complete.

 

Longer term all of wave -iii- has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 1592.50.

 

We should continue to rally sharply higher in wave .iii., which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 1357.04.

 

Since the current projected endpoint for wave .iii. is lower than for wave -iii-, we should expect that wave .iii. will head to our second projected endpoint which is:

 

.iii. = 2.618.i. = 1784.50.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long the GDXJ as a long-term hold.                   

 

Active Positions: Heavily long the GDXJ and key juniors on the CDNX, as a long-term hold!  

 

GDX & Gold Stocks:

 

GDX 60 Min Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821gdx60.png  

GDX Daily Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821gdxd.png  

Short Term Update:

 

The GDX was lower in yesterday’s trading session reaching a low of 39.02, closing at 39.21.

 

Within wave *iii* we are now rallying in wave ^i^ and within wave ^i^ we continue to rally sharply higher in wave -iii-, which has a current projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 2.618-i- = 41.70     

 

Within wave -iii-, we now be rallying in wave $iii$, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

$iii$ = 1.618$i$ = 42.70.

 

On our 60 Min Intraday Chart we have shown a possible internal wave count for all of wave $iii$.  This count could now be suggesting that wave !iv! is becoming a bullish triangle, which is still underway. We still do not like that wave !iii! is so short relative to wave !i!.

 

Based on what we have shown the next move in this market will be higher in wave !v! to $iii$ heading to our 42.70 projected endpoint, in spite of our concerns about the shortness of our current wave !iii! of $iii$.

 

The bottom line: Wave $iii$ count be subdividing even further, which is very bullish. For now we will leave this count as is but expect it will be modified.  

 

We should soon be heading higher again, to at least our next resistance of 41.13/41.81.

 

Longer term our first projection for the end of wave *iii* is:

 

*iii* = 1.618*i* = 78.66!           

 

Our updated projection for the end of wave -3- is:

 

3 = 2.618 (1) = 66.37.

 

We do have higher projections, however, as gold is likely heading well above $5000/oz.

 

We will be updating our long term gold charts this week (May 17th):

 

Kinross(Updated May 25th,2021):

 

We continue to rally in subdividing wave -iii- of (iii), which has an updated projection for its completion of:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 19.25.

 

Within wave -iii-, we completed wave .i. at 10.24 and all of wave .ii. at the 6.09 low. We are now rallying in wave .iii. which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 18.26.

 

Longer term our updated projection for the end of wave (iii) is:

 

(iii) = 4.25(i) = 21.55.

 

Wave -iii- and (iii) can extend higher also.

 

Barrick (Updated May 21,2021):  We are now rallying in an extending wave iii rally which has the following projection for its completion:

 

iii = 2.618i = 53.94

 

Wave iii still has along way to go and within this wave we are now rallying in wave (iii). Wave (iii) is now subdividing also, and it looks like we completed wave -i- at 31.01 and all of wave -ii- at the 18.64 low. WE are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 48.35.

 

Our current projected endpoint for all of wave (iii) is:

 

(iii) = 2.618(i) = 45.24.

 

Newmont Goldcorp: We are now rallying in (v) of iii, which has the following projected endpoint:

 

iii = 2.618i = 107.85.

 

After wave iii ends, we expect a wave iv correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entre wave iii rally.

 

HUI (Updated May 20th, 2021): We are now rallying in wave 3 which has the following projected endpoint:

 

3 = 2.618(1) = 620.32.

 

Within wave 3 we are rallying in wave iii, which has the following updated projected endpoint:

 

iii = 4.25i=644.35.

 

Within wave iii, we completed all of wave (ii) at 247.99 and we are now starting to rally higher in wave iii, which has the following projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 622.30.

 

XAU (Updated May 18, 2021): We are now rallying in wave (iii), which has the following projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 2.618(i) = 226.55.

 

Within wave (iii), we are rallying in wave -iii- which is now subdividing with wave .i. of -iii- ending at 165.36, and all of wave .ii. at the 128.08 low. We are now rallying in wave .iii., which as an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 233.83.

 

Longer term, wave -iii- has a current projected endpoint of:

                                                 

-iii- = 2.618-i- = 201.84.

 

Since wave .iii. has a higher projection then wave -iii-, we would assume that wave -iii- will move to next projected endpoint which is:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 288.57

 

Trading Recommendation: Long Term hold of all gold stocks and indices.

 

Active Positions: We remain long the GDX, ABX, KGC, NEM, SSRM, and TSX:XGD with no stops!! 

 

Gold:  

 

Daily Gold Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821gold.png

Short Term Update: 

 

Gold was lower in yesterday’s day session reaching and that trend lower has continued in the overnight session as we have reached a low of 1881.90 ahead of a key inflation report. 

 

Gold moved higher out of our bullish triangle formation as we are quickly heading to our next projected endpoint for all of wave $iii$ which is:

 

$iii$ = 2.618$i$ = 1938.10.

 

After wave $iii$ ends we expect a small wave $iv$ correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entire wave $iii$ rally. After wave $iv$ ends w expect a wave $v$ that rally that will complete all of wave -iii-, which has  current projected endpoint of:                                                               

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 1952.40. 

 

Next major resistance is at the 1966/1978 levels.

 

Longer term our first projection for the end of wave ^iii^ is:

 

^iii^ = 1.618^i^ =  2687.80.

 

Longer term our current projected endpoint for all of wave *iii* is:

 

*iii* = 1.618*i* = 2306.30.

 

We have higher projections also.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops. 

 

Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops! 

 

Silver:

 

Daily Silver Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821si.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

Silver was higher in yesterday’s day session reaching a high of 28.01.

 

In the overnight session we have moved lower reaching a low of 27.48.

 

Longer term we continue to rally higher in wave (iii), which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 51.52.

 

Within wave (iii) all of wave -ii- is complete at the 23.79 low and that we are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 34.22.

 

Within wave -iii-, we are still working on wave *i*.

 

We expect to break above the 28.10/28.50 resistance level, after which we will be heading to our next resistance level at 29.91/30.35 levels.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long and using a put as a stop.

 

Active Positions: Long using a put as a stop!                                                                                                                                             

 

US 10 Year Bond Yield:

 

Daily US 10 Year Bond Yield Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821bond.png

 

Short Term Update:                                                                      

 

The US 10 Year Bond Yield was higher in yesterday’s day session reaching a high of 1.625%. In the overnight session we moved sideways currently trading at the 1.615% level.

 

We are currently updating our US 10 Year Bond Yield Daily Chart to provide the internal wave count for all of wave (iii). We will continue to work on this.

 

US 10 Year Bond Yields made a multi-generational low at the 0.398% level and have started the long journey higher in a new bull market that will last decades. The era of low interest rates has now ended.

 

In the short term we are now rallying in wave (iii) in our first five wave impulsive sequence and within that sequence we are now rallying in wave (iii), which has an initial target of:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 1.910%. 

 

After wave (iii) ends we expect a wave (iv) correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entire wave (iii) rally.

 

It appears that much higher inflation is now coming.      

                                                                                                                                                                                       

Trading Recommendation: Flat.

                                                                                                                    

Active Positions: Flat!

 

S&P500: 

 

Daily SP500 Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821spd.png

 

120 Minute SP500 Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821sp120.png

Short Term Update:

                                                             

The SP500 moved sideways in yesterday’s trading session, closing higher at 4200.89. In the overnight session the SP500 Futures are up by about 14 points!

 

All of wave -v- of (iii) is now complete at 4236.39 high. We are now falling in wave (iv), which has the following retracement levels:

 

23.6% = 3889.53;

38.2% = 3674.95.

 

The expected drop in wave (iv) should be between 300 and 550 points.

 

It is still to early to determine which type of corrective pattern wave (iv) is going to develop into.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       

Trading Recommendation: Short will calls as stops.

                                                                                   

Active Positions: Short will calls as stops!

 

USDX:

 

Daily USDX Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821usd.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

The USDX was higher in yesterday’s day session and that trend higher has continued in the overnight session as we have reached a high of 90.38.

 

We continue to fall in wave -v- and are starting to get close to our minimum target for its completion at the 89.17 low.

 

Projections for the end of wave -v- are:

 

-v- = 89.17;

-v- = 1.618-i- = 84.38;

-v- = 0.618(length of wave -iii-) = 0.618(100.97-89.17) = 86.18;

-v- = 1.618(length of wave -iii-) = 1.618(100.97-89.17) = 74.38.  

 

The continuing drop in the USDX should support our rallies in gold, silver and the GDX.                           

                                                                                                        

Trading Recommendation: Flat.

 

Active Positions: Flat! 

 

Crude Oil and Suncor:

 

Daily Crude Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821oil.png  

Short Term Update:

 

Crude was higher in yesterday’s day session and that trend higher has continued in the overnight session as we have reached a high of 67.45.

 

Longer term we continue to rally sharply higher in wave (iii), which the following longer term projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 93.96.  

                                                                                                                                              

Wave $i$ of (iii) is now complete at the 67.98 high and we are now falling in wave $ii$ which has the following retracement levels:

 

50% = 50.81;

61.8% = 46.76.

 

Within wave $ii$, we believe that all of wave ^a^ ended at 57.25, as we continue to rally higher in an incomplete wave ^b^. After wave ^b^ ends we expect another drop in wave ^c^ to complete all of wave $ii$.

 

This current weakness is also testing the major breakout of our 12 year downtrend line that started at the 147.00 high back in 2009. We expect we will break through this downtrend line decisively to move sharply higher after wave $ii$ ends.

 

Suncor: We continue to rally in wave iii which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

iii = 1.618i = 30.28.

 

Within wave iii it now looks like wave -i- ended at 19.94 and wave -ii- at the 16.29 low.

 

We continue to rally higher in wave -iii-, which has a projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 31.29.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long crude with a put as a stop. Long Suncor.

 

Active Positions: Long crude with put as a stop! Long Suncor!                         

  

Thanks!

Captain & Crew

may 28

Captain Ewave Morning Post!

 

 

Please click here for the Bob Balan Ewave Basics Handbook… which the Captain highly recommends:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Ewave-Basics.pdf

 

Don’t try to learn Ewave all in one day.  Focus on when the Captain is buying or selling, and the big wave counts.  

From there, add more detail to your study.

 

If any sub needs one-on-one help with the wave counts, just some handholding during market dips, or both, shoot us an Email we’ll work out a phone talk time slot.  Can buy a one-time slot or multi… Thanks, Captain & Crew

 

 

CDNX:

 

CDNX Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821cdnx.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

The CDNX moved sideways in yesterday’s trading session, although we closed marginally higher at the high of 959.65!

 

Longer term we are continuing to rally higher in wave (i) of -iii-. Within wave (i) we believe we completed wave $i$ of (i) of -iii- at the 999.86 high.

 

If that is the case then we are now dropping in wave $ii$, which has the following retracement levels:

 

78.6% = 895.63.

 

We now need to be on guard for the completion of wave $ii$ at the 902.30 low and the start of a major rally in wave $iii$.

 

Our current short-term challenge is to clear resistance above the sloping line connecting 968.07 and 962.05, which we suspect we might clear very soon!

 

We will provide our first projection for end of wave $iii$, when we believe all of wave $ii$ is complete.

 

Longer term all of wave -iii- has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 1592.50.

 

We should continue to rally sharply higher in wave .iii., which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 1357.04.

 

Since the current projected endpoint for wave .iii. is lower than for wave -iii-, we should expect that wave .iii. will head to our second projected endpoint which is:

 

.iii. = 2.618.i. = 1784.50.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long the GDXJ as a long-term hold.                   

 

Active Positions: Heavily long the GDXJ and key juniors on the CDNX, as a long-term hold!  

 

GDX & Gold Stocks:

 

GDX 60 Min Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821gdx60.png  

GDX Daily Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821gdxd.png  

Short Term Update:

 

The GDX was lower in yesterday’s trading session reaching a low of 39.02, closing at 39.21.

 

Within wave *iii* we are now rallying in wave ^i^ and within wave ^i^ we continue to rally sharply higher in wave -iii-, which has a current projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 2.618-i- = 41.70     

 

Within wave -iii-, we now be rallying in wave $iii$, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

$iii$ = 1.618$i$ = 42.70.

 

On our 60 Min Intraday Chart we have shown a possible internal wave count for all of wave $iii$.  This count could now be suggesting that wave !iv! is becoming a bullish triangle, which is still underway. We still do not like that wave !iii! is so short relative to wave !i!.

 

Based on what we have shown the next move in this market will be higher in wave !v! to $iii$ heading to our 42.70 projected endpoint, in spite of our concerns about the shortness of our current wave !iii! of $iii$.

 

The bottom line: Wave $iii$ count be subdividing even further, which is very bullish. For now we will leave this count as is but expect it will be modified.  

 

We should soon be heading higher again, to at least our next resistance of 41.13/41.81.

 

Longer term our first projection for the end of wave *iii* is:

 

*iii* = 1.618*i* = 78.66!           

 

Our updated projection for the end of wave -3- is:

 

3 = 2.618 (1) = 66.37.

 

We do have higher projections, however, as gold is likely heading well above $5000/oz.

 

We will be updating our long term gold charts this week (May 17th):

 

Kinross(Updated May 25th,2021):

 

We continue to rally in subdividing wave -iii- of (iii), which has an updated projection for its completion of:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 19.25.

 

Within wave -iii-, we completed wave .i. at 10.24 and all of wave .ii. at the 6.09 low. We are now rallying in wave .iii. which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 18.26.

 

Longer term our updated projection for the end of wave (iii) is:

 

(iii) = 4.25(i) = 21.55.

 

Wave -iii- and (iii) can extend higher also.

 

Barrick (Updated May 21,2021):  We are now rallying in an extending wave iii rally which has the following projection for its completion:

 

iii = 2.618i = 53.94

 

Wave iii still has along way to go and within this wave we are now rallying in wave (iii). Wave (iii) is now subdividing also, and it looks like we completed wave -i- at 31.01 and all of wave -ii- at the 18.64 low. WE are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 48.35.

 

Our current projected endpoint for all of wave (iii) is:

 

(iii) = 2.618(i) = 45.24.

 

Newmont Goldcorp: We are now rallying in (v) of iii, which has the following projected endpoint:

 

iii = 2.618i = 107.85.

 

After wave iii ends, we expect a wave iv correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entre wave iii rally.

 

HUI (Updated May 20th, 2021): We are now rallying in wave 3 which has the following projected endpoint:

 

3 = 2.618(1) = 620.32.

 

Within wave 3 we are rallying in wave iii, which has the following updated projected endpoint:

 

iii = 4.25i=644.35.

 

Within wave iii, we completed all of wave (ii) at 247.99 and we are now starting to rally higher in wave iii, which has the following projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 622.30.

 

XAU (Updated May 18, 2021): We are now rallying in wave (iii), which has the following projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 2.618(i) = 226.55.

 

Within wave (iii), we are rallying in wave -iii- which is now subdividing with wave .i. of -iii- ending at 165.36, and all of wave .ii. at the 128.08 low. We are now rallying in wave .iii., which as an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 233.83.

 

Longer term, wave -iii- has a current projected endpoint of:

                                                 

-iii- = 2.618-i- = 201.84.

 

Since wave .iii. has a higher projection then wave -iii-, we would assume that wave -iii- will move to next projected endpoint which is:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 288.57

 

Trading Recommendation: Long Term hold of all gold stocks and indices.

 

Active Positions: We remain long the GDX, ABX, KGC, NEM, SSRM, and TSX:XGD with no stops!! 

 

Gold:  

 

Daily Gold Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821gold.png

Short Term Update: 

 

Gold was lower in yesterday’s day session reaching and that trend lower has continued in the overnight session as we have reached a low of 1881.90 ahead of a key inflation report. 

 

Gold moved higher out of our bullish triangle formation as we are quickly heading to our next projected endpoint for all of wave $iii$ which is:

 

$iii$ = 2.618$i$ = 1938.10.

 

After wave $iii$ ends we expect a small wave $iv$ correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entire wave $iii$ rally. After wave $iv$ ends w expect a wave $v$ that rally that will complete all of wave -iii-, which has  current projected endpoint of:                                                               

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 1952.40. 

 

Next major resistance is at the 1966/1978 levels.

 

Longer term our first projection for the end of wave ^iii^ is:

 

^iii^ = 1.618^i^ =  2687.80.

 

Longer term our current projected endpoint for all of wave *iii* is:

 

*iii* = 1.618*i* = 2306.30.

 

We have higher projections also.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops. 

 

Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops! 

 

Silver:

 

Daily Silver Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821si.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

Silver was higher in yesterday’s day session reaching a high of 28.01.

 

In the overnight session we have moved lower reaching a low of 27.48.

 

Longer term we continue to rally higher in wave (iii), which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 51.52.

 

Within wave (iii) all of wave -ii- is complete at the 23.79 low and that we are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 34.22.

 

Within wave -iii-, we are still working on wave *i*.

 

We expect to break above the 28.10/28.50 resistance level, after which we will be heading to our next resistance level at 29.91/30.35 levels.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long and using a put as a stop.

 

Active Positions: Long using a put as a stop!                                                                                                                                             

 

US 10 Year Bond Yield:

 

Daily US 10 Year Bond Yield Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821bond.png

 

Short Term Update:                                                                      

 

The US 10 Year Bond Yield was higher in yesterday’s day session reaching a high of 1.625%. In the overnight session we moved sideways currently trading at the 1.615% level.

 

We are currently updating our US 10 Year Bond Yield Daily Chart to provide the internal wave count for all of wave (iii). We will continue to work on this.

 

US 10 Year Bond Yields made a multi-generational low at the 0.398% level and have started the long journey higher in a new bull market that will last decades. The era of low interest rates has now ended.

 

In the short term we are now rallying in wave (iii) in our first five wave impulsive sequence and within that sequence we are now rallying in wave (iii), which has an initial target of:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 1.910%. 

 

After wave (iii) ends we expect a wave (iv) correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entire wave (iii) rally.

 

It appears that much higher inflation is now coming.      

                                                                                                                                                                                       

Trading Recommendation: Flat.

                                                                                                                    

Active Positions: Flat!

 

S&P500: 

 

Daily SP500 Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821spd.png

 

120 Minute SP500 Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821sp120.png

Short Term Update:

                                                             

The SP500 moved sideways in yesterday’s trading session, closing higher at 4200.89. In the overnight session the SP500 Futures are up by about 14 points!

 

All of wave -v- of (iii) is now complete at 4236.39 high. We are now falling in wave (iv), which has the following retracement levels:

 

23.6% = 3889.53;

38.2% = 3674.95.

 

The expected drop in wave (iv) should be between 300 and 550 points.

 

It is still to early to determine which type of corrective pattern wave (iv) is going to develop into.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       

Trading Recommendation: Short will calls as stops.

                                                                                   

Active Positions: Short will calls as stops!

 

USDX:

 

Daily USDX Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821usd.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

The USDX was higher in yesterday’s day session and that trend higher has continued in the overnight session as we have reached a high of 90.38.

 

We continue to fall in wave -v- and are starting to get close to our minimum target for its completion at the 89.17 low.

 

Projections for the end of wave -v- are:

 

-v- = 89.17;

-v- = 1.618-i- = 84.38;

-v- = 0.618(length of wave -iii-) = 0.618(100.97-89.17) = 86.18;

-v- = 1.618(length of wave -iii-) = 1.618(100.97-89.17) = 74.38.  

 

The continuing drop in the USDX should support our rallies in gold, silver and the GDX.                           

                                                                                                        

Trading Recommendation: Flat.

 

Active Positions: Flat! 

 

Crude Oil and Suncor:

 

Daily Crude Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2821oil.png  

Short Term Update:

 

Crude was higher in yesterday’s day session and that trend higher has continued in the overnight session as we have reached a high of 67.45.

 

Longer term we continue to rally sharply higher in wave (iii), which the following longer term projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 93.96.  

                                                                                                                                              

Wave $i$ of (iii) is now complete at the 67.98 high and we are now falling in wave $ii$ which has the following retracement levels:

 

50% = 50.81;

61.8% = 46.76.

 

Within wave $ii$, we believe that all of wave ^a^ ended at 57.25, as we continue to rally higher in an incomplete wave ^b^. After wave ^b^ ends we expect another drop in wave ^c^ to complete all of wave $ii$.

 

This current weakness is also testing the major breakout of our 12 year downtrend line that started at the 147.00 high back in 2009. We expect we will break through this downtrend line decisively to move sharply higher after wave $ii$ ends.

 

Suncor: We continue to rally in wave iii which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

iii = 1.618i = 30.28.

 

Within wave iii it now looks like wave -i- ended at 19.94 and wave -ii- at the 16.29 low.

 

We continue to rally higher in wave -iii-, which has a projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 31.29.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long crude with a put as a stop. Long Suncor.

 

Active Positions: Long crude with put as a stop! Long Suncor!                         

  

Thanks!

Captain & Crew

may 27 morning post!

Captain Ewave Morning Post!

 

 

Please click here for the Bob Balan Ewave Basics Handbook… which the Captain highly recommends:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Ewave-Basics.pdf

 

Don’t try to learn Ewave all in one day.  Focus on when the Captain is buying or selling, and the big wave counts.  

From there, add more detail to your study.

 

If any sub needs one-on-one help with the wave counts, just some handholding during market dips, or both, shoot us an Email we’ll work out a phone talk time slot.  Can buy a one-time slot or multi… Thanks, Captain & Crew

 

 

CDNX: 

 

CDNX Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2721cdnx.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

The CDNX moved sideways in yesterday’s trading session closing at 956.00.

 

Longer term we are continuing to rally higher in wave (i) of -iii-. Within wave (i) we believe we completed wave $i$ of (i) of -iii- at the 999.86 high.

 

If that is the case then we are now dropping in wave $ii$, which has the following retracement levels:

 

78.6% = 895.63.

 

We now need to be on guard for the completion of wave $ii$ at the 902.30 low and the start of a major rally in wave $iii$. Our current short term challenge is to clear resistance above the sloping line connecting 968.07 and 962.05, which we suspect we might clear today or tomorrow.

 

We will provide our first projection for end of wave $iii$, when we believe all of wave $ii$ is complete.

 

Longer term all of wave -iii- has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 1592.50.

 

We should continue to rally sharply higher in wave .iii., which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 1357.04.

 

Since the current projected endpoint for wave .iii. is lower than for wave -iii-, we should expect that wave .iii. will head to our second projected endpoint which is:

 

.iii. = 2.618.i. = 1784.50.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long the GDXJ as a long-term hold.                   

 

Active Positions: Heavily long the GDXJ and key juniors on the CDNX, as a long-term hold!  

 

GDX & Gold Stocks:

 

GDX 60 Min Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2721gdx60.png

 

GDX Daily Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2721gdxd.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

The GDX was initially higher in yesterday’s trading session reaching a high of 40.00, although we closed marginally lower at 39.46.

 

Within wave *iii* we are now rallying in wave ^i^ and within wave ^i^ we continue to rally sharply higher in wave -iii-, which has a current projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 2.618-i- = 41.70     

 

Within wave -iii-, we now be rallying in wave $iii$, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

$iii$ = 1.618$i$ = 42.70.

 

On our 60 Min Intraday Chart we shown a possible internal wave count for all of wave $iii$.  This count is suggesting that all of wave !iv! of $iii$ ended 38.60, but our current wave !iii! rally appears to be too short relative to wave !i!.

 

Based on what we have shown the next move in this market will be higher in wave !v! to $iii$ heading to our 42.70 projected endpoint, but we do have concerns about the shortness of our current wave !iii! of $iii$.

 

The bottom line: Wave $iii$ could be subdividing even further, which is very bullish. For now we will leave this count as is but expect it will be modified.  

 

We believe our test of the 39.01 resistance level is now complete and we should now be heading higher again, to at least our next resistance of 41.13/41.81.

 

Longer term our first projection for the end of wave *iii* is:

 

*iii* = 1.618*i* = 78.66!           

 

Our updated projection for the end of wave -3- is:

 

3 = 2.618 (1) = 66.37.

 

We do have higher projections, however, as gold is likely heading well above $5000/oz.

 

We will be updating our long term gold charts this week (May 17th):

 

Kinross(Updated May 25th,2021):

 

We continue to rally in subdividing wave -iii- of (iii), which has an updated projection for its completion of:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 19.25.

 

Within wave -iii-, we completed wave .i. at 10.24 and all of wave .ii. at the 6.09 low. We are now rallying in wave .iii. which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 18.26.

 

Longer term our updated projection for the end of wave (iii) is:

 

(iii) = 4.25(i) = 21.55.

 

Wave -iii- and (iii) can extend higher also.

 

Barrick (Updated May 21,2021):  We are now rallying in an extending wave iii rally which has the following projection for its completion:

 

iii = 2.618i = 53.94

 

Wave iii still has along way to go and within this wave we are now rallying in wave (iii). Wave (iii) is now subdividing also, and it looks like we completed wave -i- at 31.01 and all of wave -ii- at the 18.64 low. WE are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 48.35.

 

Our current projected endpoint for all of wave (iii) is:

 

(iii) = 2.618(i) = 45.24.

 

Newmont Goldcorp: We are now rallying in (v) of iii, which has the following projected endpoint:

 

iii = 2.618i = 107.85.

 

After wave iii ends, we expect a wave iv correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entre wave iii rally.

 

HUI (Updated May 20th, 2021): We are now rallying in wave 3 which has the following projected endpoint:

 

3 = 2.618(1) = 620.32.

 

Within wave 3 we are rallying in wave iii, which has the following updated projected endpoint:

 

iii = 4.25i=644.35.

 

Within wave iii, we completed all of wave (ii) at 247.99 and we are now starting to rally higher in wave iii, which has the following projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 622.30.

 

XAU (Updated May 18, 2021): We are now rallying in wave (iii), which has the following projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 2.618(i) = 226.55.

 

Within wave (iii), we are rallying in wave -iii- which is now subdividing with wave .i. of -iii- ending at 165.36, and all of wave .ii. at the 128.08 low. We are now rallying in wave .iii., which as an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 233.83.

 

Longer term, wave -iii- has a current projected endpoint of:

                                                 

-iii- = 2.618-i- = 201.84.

 

Since wave .iii. has a higher projection then wave -iii-, we would assume that wave -iii- will move to next projected endpoint which is:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 288.57

 

Trading Recommendation: Long Term hold of all gold stocks and indices.

 

Active Positions: We remain long the GDX, ABX, KGC, NEM, SSRM, and TSX:XGD with no stops!! 

 

Gold:  

 

Daily Gold Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2721gold.png

 

Short Term Update: 

 

Gold was higher in yesterday’s day session reaching a high of 1915.60.

 

After that high was made we moved lower reaching a low of 1890.80.

 

In the overnight session we have moved sideways currently trading at the 1894.90 level.

 

Gold moved higher out of our bullish triangle formation as we are quickly heading to our next projected endpoint for all of wave $iii$ which is:

 

$iii$ = 2.618$i$ = 1938.10.

 

After wave $iii$ ends we expect a small wave $iv$ correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entire wave $iii$ rally. After wave $iv$ ends w expect a wave $v$ that rally that will complete all of wave -iii-, which has  current projected endpoint of:                                                               

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 1952.40. 

 

Next major resistance is at the 1966/1978 levels.

 

Longer term our first projection for the end of wave ^iii^ is:

 

^iii^ = 1.618^i^ =  2687.80.

 

Longer term our current projected endpoint for all of wave *iii* is:

 

*iii* = 1.618*i* = 2306.30.

 

We have higher projections also.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops. 

 

Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops! 

 

Silver:

 

Daily Silver Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2721si.png

 

 

Short Term Update:

 

Silver was lower in yesterday’s day session and that trend lower has continued in the overnight session as we have reached a low of 27.59.

 

Longer term we continue to rally higher in wave (iii), which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 51.52.

 

Within wave (iii) all of wave -ii- is complete at the 23.79 low and that we are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 34.22.

 

Within wave -iii-, we are still working on wave *i*.

 

We expect to break above the 28.10/28.50 resistance level in the next day or so, after which we will be heading to our next resistance level at 29.91/30.35 levels.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long and using a put as a stop.

 

Active Positions: Long using a put as a stop!                                                                                                                                             

 

US 10 Year Bond Yield:

 

Daily US 10 Year Bond Yield Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2721bond.png

 

Short Term Update:                                                                      

 

The US 10 Year Bond Yield was lower in yesterday’s day session reaching a low of 1.562%. In the overnight session we moved higher reaching a high of 1.603%.

 

We are currently updating our US 10 Year Bond Yield Daily Chart to provide the internal wave count for all of wave (iii). We will continue to work on this.

 

US 10 Year Bond Yields made a multi-generational low at the 0.398% level and have started the long journey higher in a new bull market that will last decades. The era of low interest rates has now ended.

 

In the short term we are now rallying in wave (iii) in our first five wave impulsive sequence and within that sequence we are now rallying in wave (iii), which has an initial target of:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 1.910%. 

 

After wave (iii) ends we expect a wave (iv) correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entire wave (iii) rally.

 

It appears that much higher inflation is now coming.      

                                                                                                                                                                                       

Trading Recommendation: Flat.

                                                                                                                    

Active Positions: Flat!

 

S&P500: 

 

Daily SP500 Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2721spd.png

 

120 Minute SP500 Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2721sp120.png

 

Short Term Update:

                                                             

The SP500 moved sideways in yesterday’s trading session, closing higher at 4195.99. In the overnight session the SP500 Futures are lower by about 6 points.

 

All of wave -v- of (iii) is now complete at 4236.39 high. We are now falling in wave (iv), which has the following retracement levels:

 

23.6% = 3889.53;

38.2% = 3674.95.

 

The expected drop in wave (iv) should be between 300 and 550 points.

 

It is still to early to determine which type of corrective pattern wave (iv) is going to develop into.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       

Trading Recommendation: Short with calls as stops.

                                                                                   

Active Positions: Short will calls as stops!

 

USDX:

 

Daily USDX Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2721usd.png  

Short Term Update:

 

The USDX was higher in yesterday’s day session and that trend higher has continued in the overnight session as we have reached a high of 90.18!

 

We continue to fall in wave -v- and are starting to get close to our minimum target for its completion at the 89.17 low.

 

Projections for the end of wave -v- are:

 

-v- = 89.17;

-v- = 1.618-i- = 84.38;

-v- = 0.618(length of wave -iii-) = 0.618(100.97-89.17) = 86.18;

-v- = 1.618(length of wave -iii-) = 1.618(100.97-89.17) = 74.38.  

 

The continuing drop in the USDX should support our rallies in gold, silver and the GDX.                           

                                                                                                        

Trading Recommendation: Flat.

 

Active Positions: Flat! 

 

Crude Oil and Suncor:

 

Daily Crude Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2721oil.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

Crude moved sideways in yesterday’s day session and that trend has continued in the overnight session as we are currently trading at the 65.75 level.

 

Longer term we continue to rally sharply higher in wave (iii), which the following longer term projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 93.96.  

                                                                                                                                              

Wave $i$ of (iii) is now complete at the 67.98 high and we are now falling in wave $ii$ which has the following retracement levels:

 

50% = 50.81;

61.8% = 46.76.

 

Within wave $ii$, we believe that all of wave ^a^ ended at 57.25, as we continue to rally higher in an incomplete wave ^b^, although it may now be complete at the 67.00 high. After wave ^b^ ends we expect another drop in wave ^c^ to complete all of wave $ii$.

 

This current weakness is also testing the major breakout of our 12year downtrend line that started at the 147.00 high back in 2009. We expect we will break through this downtrend line decisively to move sharply higher after wave $ii$ ends.

 

Suncor: We continue to rally in wave iii which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

iii = 1.618i = 30.28.

 

Within wave iii it now looks like wave -i- ended at 19.94 and wave -ii- at the 16.29 low.

 

We continue to rally higher in wave -iii-, which has a projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 31.29.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long crude with a put as a stop. Long Suncor.

 

Active Positions: Long crude with put as a stop! Long Suncor!                         

  

Thanks!

Captain & Crew

may 26 morning post!

Captain Ewave Morning Post!

 

ST: Long Term Kinross Updated. please add “Updated to” date.

 

Please click here for the Bob Balan Ewave Basics Handbook… which the Captain highly recommends:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Ewave-Basics.pdf

 

Don’t try to learn Ewave all in one day.  Focus on when the Captain is buying or selling, and the big wave counts.  

From there, add more detail to your study.

 

If any sub needs one-on-one help with the wave counts, just some handholding during market dips, or both, shoot us an Email we’ll work out a phone talk time slot.  Can buy a one-time slot or multi… Thanks, Captain & Crew

 

 

CDNX: 

 

CDNX Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2621cdnx.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

The CDNX was initially higher in yesterday’s trading session reaching a high of 965.58, although we closed lower at 954.96.

 

Longer term we are continuing to rally higher in wave (i) of -iii-. Within wave (i) we believe we completed wave $i$ of (i) of -iii- at the 999.86 high.

 

If that is the case then we are now dropping in wave $ii$, which has the following retracement levels:

 

78.6% = 895.63.

 

We now need to be on guard for the completion of wave $ii$ at the 902.30 low and the start of a major rally in wave $iii$. Our current short term challenge is to clear resistance above the sloping line connecting 968.07 and 962.05, which we suspect we might clear today or tomorrow.

 

We will provide our first projection for end of wave $iii$, when we believe all of wave $ii$ is complete.

 

Longer term all of wave -iii- has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 1592.50.

 

We should continue to rally sharply higher in wave .iii., which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 1357.04.

 

Since the current projected endpoint for wave .iii. is lower than for wave -iii-, we should expect that wave .iii. will head to our second projected endpoint which is:

 

.iii. = 2.618.i. = 1784.50.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long the GDXJ as a long-term hold.                   

 

Active Positions: Heavily long the GDXJ and key juniors on the CDNX, as a long-term hold!  

 

GDX & Gold Stocks:

 

GDX 60 Min Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2621gdx60.png  

GDX Daily Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay26221gdxd.png  

Short Term Update:

 

The GDX was initially lower in yesterday’s trading session reaching a low of 38.87, although we closed higher at 39.53!

 

Within wave *iii* we are now rallying in wave ^i^ and within wave ^i^ we continue to rally sharply higher in wave -iii-, which has a current projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 2.618-i- = 41.70     

 

Within wave -iii-, we now be rallying in wave $iii$, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

$iii$ = 1.618$i$ = 42.70.

 

On our 60 Min Intraday Chart we shown a possible internal wave count for all of wave $iii$.  This count is suggesting that all of wave !iv! of $iii$ ended 38.60, but our current wave !iii! rally appears to be too short relative to wave !i!.

Based on what we have shown the next move in this market will be higher in wave !v! to $iii$ heading to our 42.70 projected endpoint, but we do have concerns about the shortness of our current wave !iii! of $iii$.

 

The bottom line: Wave $iii$ count be subdividing even further, which is very bullish. For now we will leave this count as is but expect it will be modified.  

 

We believe our test of the 39.01 resistance level is now complete and we should now be heading higher again, to at least our next resistance of 41.13/41.81.

 

Longer term our first projection for the end of wave *iii* is:

 

*iii* = 1.618*i* = 78.66!           

 

Our updated projection for the end of wave -3- is:

 

3 = 2.618 (1) = 66.37.

 

We do have higher projections, however, as gold is likely heading well above $5000/oz.

 

We will be updating our long term gold charts this week (May 17th):

 

Kinross(Updated May 25th,2021):

 

We continue to rally in subdividing wave -iii- of (iii), which has an updated projection for its completion of:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 19.25.

 

Within wave -iii-, we completed wave .i. at 10.24 and all of wave .ii. at the 6.09 low. We are now rallying in wave .iii. which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 18.26.

 

Longer term our updated projection for the end of wave (iii) is:

 

(iii) = 4.25(i) = 21.55.

 

Wave -iii- and (iii) can extend higher also.

 

Barrick (Updated May 21,2021):  We are now rallying in an extending wave iii rally which has the following projection for its completion:

 

iii = 2.618i = 53.94

 

Wave iii still has along way to go and within this wave we are now rallying in wave (iii). Wave (iii) is now subdividing also, and it looks like we completed wave -i- at 31.01 and all of wave -ii- at the 18.64 low. WE are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 48.35.

 

Our current projected endpoint for all of wave (iii) is:

 

(iii) = 2.618(i) = 45.24.

 

Newmont Goldcorp: We are now rallying in (v) of iii, which has the following projected endpoint:

 

iii = 2.618i = 107.85.

 

After wave iii ends, we expect a wave iv correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entre wave iii rally.

 

HUI (Updated May 20th, 2021): We are now rallying in wave 3 which has the following projected endpoint:

 

3 = 2.618(1) = 620.32.

 

Within wave 3 we are rallying in wave iii, which has the following updated projected endpoint:

 

iii = 4.25i=644.35.

 

Within wave iii, we completed all of wave (ii) at 247.99 and we are now starting to rally higher in wave iii, which has the following projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 622.30.

 

XAU (Updated May 18, 2021): We are now rallying in wave (iii), which has the following projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 2.618(i) = 226.55.

 

Within wave (iii), we are rallying in wave -iii- which is now subdividing with wave .i. of -iii- ending at 165.36, and all of wave .ii. at the 128.08 low. We are now rallying in wave .iii., which as an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 233.83.

 

Longer term, wave -iii- has a current projected endpoint of:

                                                 

-iii- = 2.618-i- = 201.84.

 

Since wave .iii. has a higher projection then wave -iii-, we would assume that wave -iii- will move to next projected endpoint which is:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 288.57

 

Trading Recommendation: Long Term hold of all gold stocks and indices.

 

Active Positions: We remain long the GDX, ABX, KGC, NEM, SSRM, and TSX:XGD with no stops!! 

 

Gold:  

 

Daily Gold Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2621gold.png

Short Term Update: 

 

Gold moved higher in yesterday’s day session and that trend higher has continued in the overnight session as we have reached a high of 1912.10!

 

Gold moved higher out of our bullish triangle formation as we are quickly heading to our next projected endpoint for all of wave $iii$ which is:

 

$iii$ = 2.618$i$ = 1938.10.

 

After wave $iii$ ends we expect a small wave $iv$ correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entire wave $iii$ rally. After wave $iv$ ends w expect a wave $v$ that rally that will complete all of wave -iii-, which has  current projected endpoint of:                                                               

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 1952.40. 

 

Next major resistance is at the 1966/1978 levels.

 

Longer term our first projection for the end of wave ^iii^ is:

 

^iii^ = 1.618^i^ =  2687.80.

 

Longer term our current projected endpoint for all of wave *iii* is:

 

*iii* = 1.618*i* = 2306.30.

 

We have higher projections also.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops. 

 

Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops! 

 

Silver:

 

Daily Silver Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2621si.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

Silver moved higher in yesterday’s day session and that trend higher has continued in the overnight session as we have reached a high of 28.34!

 

Longer term we continue to rally higher in wave (iii), which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 51.52.

 

Within wave (iii) all of wave -ii- is complete at the 23.79 low and that we are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 34.22.

 

Within wave -iii-, we are still working on wave *i*.

 

On the Intraday Chart the drop from 28.89 to 27.27 looks to be corrective, which is suggesting higher prices lie ahead once this corrective pattern ends.

 

We expect to break above the 28.10/28.50 resistance level in the next day or so, after which we will be heading to our next resistance level at 29.91/30.35 levels.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long and using a put as a stop.

 

Active Positions: Long using a put as a stop!                                                                                                                                             

 

US 10 Year Bond Yield:

 

Daily US 10 Year Bond Yield Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2421bond.png

 

Short Term Update:                                                                      

 

The US 10 Year Bond Yield was lower in yesterday’s day session reaching a low of 1.562%. Since then, we moved sideways currently trading at the 1.564% level.

 

We are currently updating our US 10 Year Bond Yield Daily Chart to provide the internal wave count for all of wave (iii). We will continue to work on this.

 

US 10 Year Bond Yields made a multi-generational low at the 0.398% level and have started the long journey higher in a new bull market that will last decades. The era of low interest rates has now ended.

 

In the short term we are now rallying in wave (iii) in our first five wave impulsive sequence and within that sequence we are now rallying in wave (iii), which has an initial target of:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 1.910%. 

 

After wave (iii) ends we expect a wave (iv) correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entire wave (iii) rally.

 

It appears that much higher inflation is now coming.      

                                                                                                                                                                                       

Trading Recommendation: Flat.

                                                                                                                    

Active Positions: Flat!

 

S&P500: 

 

Daily SP500 Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2621spd.png

 

120 Minute SP500 Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2621sp120.png

 

Short Term Update:

                                                             

The SP500 was lower in yesterday’s trading session reaching a low of 4182.62. In the overnight session the SP500 Futures are higher by about 13 points!

 

All of wave -v- of (iii) is now complete at 4236.39 high. We are now falling in wave (iv), which has the following retracement levels:

 

23.6% = 3889.53;

38.2% = 3674.95.

 

The expected drop in wave (iv) should be between 300 and 550 points.

 

It is still to early to determine which type of corrective pattern wave (iv) is going to develop into.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       

Trading Recommendation: Short will calls as stops.

                                                                                   

Active Positions: Short with calls as stops!

 

USDX:

 

Daily USDX Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2621usd.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

The USDX was higher in yesterday’s day session and that trend higher has continued in the overnight session as we have reached a high of 89.85.

 

We continue to fall in wave -v- and are starting to get close to our minimum target for its completion at the 89.17 low.

 

Projections for the end of wave -v- are:

 

-v- = 89.17;

-v- = 1.618-i- = 84.38;

-v- = 0.618(length of wave -iii-) = 0.618(100.97-89.17) = 86.18;

-v- = 1.618(length of wave -iii-) = 1.618(100.97-89.17) = 74.38.  

 

The continuing drop in the USDX should support our rallies in gold, silver and the GDX.                           

                                                                                                        

Trading Recommendation: Flat.

 

Active Positions: Flat! 

 

Crude Oil and Suncor:

 

Daily Crude Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2621oil.png  

Short Term Update:

 

Crude was higher in yesterday’s day session reaching a high of 66.51. In the overnight session we have moved sideways, currently trading at the 65.78 level.

 

Longer term we continue to rally sharply higher in wave (iii), which the following longer term projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 93.96.  

                                                                                                                                              

Wave $i$ of (iii) is now complete at the 67.98 high and we are now falling in wave $ii$ which has the following retracement levels:

 

50% = 50.81;

61.8% = 46.76.

 

Within wave $ii$, we believe that all of wave ^a^ ended at 57.25, as we continue to rally higher in an incomplete wave ^b^, although it may now be complete at the 67.00 high. After wave ^b^ ends we expect another drop in wave ^c^ to complete all of wave $ii$.

 

This current weakness is also testing the major breakout of our 12 year downtrend line that started at the 147.00 high back in 2009. We expect we will break through this downtrend line decisively to move sharply higher after wave $ii$ ends.

 

Suncor: We continue to rally in wave iii which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

iii = 1.618i = 30.28.

 

Within wave iii it now looks like wave -i- ended at 19.94 and wave -ii- at the 16.29 low.

 

We continue to rally higher in wave -iii-, which has a projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 31.29.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long crude with a put as a stop. Long Suncor.

 

Active Positions: Long crude with put as a stop! Long Suncor!                         

  

Thanks!

Captain & Crew

may 25 morning post!

Captain Ewave Morning Post!

 

Please click here for the Bob Balan Ewave Basics Handbook… which the Captain highly recommends:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Ewave-Basics.pdf

 

Don’t try to learn Ewave all in one day.  Focus on when the Captain is buying or selling, and the big wave counts.  

From there, add more detail to your study.

 

If any sub needs one-on-one help with the wave counts, just some handholding during market dips, or both, shoot us an Email we’ll work out a phone talk time slot.  Can buy a one-time slot or multi… Thanks, Captain & Crew

 

 

CDNX: 

 

CDNX Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/2021may2521cdnx.png  

Short Term Update:

 

The CDNX was higher in Friday’s trading session reaching a high of 957.47, closing at 957.22.

 

The CDNX was closed for Victoria Day in Canada yesterday.

 

Longer term we are continuing to rally higher in wave (i) of -iii-. Within wave (i) we believe we completed wave $i$ of (i) of -iii- at the 999.86 high.

 

If that is the case then we are now dropping in wave $ii$, which has the following retracement levels:

 

78.6% = 895.63.

 

We now need to be on guard for the completion of wave $ii$ at the 902.30 low and the start of a major rally in wave $iii$. We will provide our first projection for end of wave $iii$, when we believe all of wave $ii$ is complete.

 

Longer term all of wave -iii- has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 1592.50.

 

We should continue to rally sharply higher in wave .iii., which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 1357.04.

 

Since the current projected endpoint for wave .iii. is lower than for wave -iii-, we should expect that wave .iii. will head to our second projected endpoint which is:

 

.iii. = 2.618.i. = 1784.50.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long the GDXJ as a long-term hold.                   

 

Active Positions: Heavily long the GDXJ and key juniors on the CDNX, as a long-term hold!  

 

GDX & Gold Stocks:

 

GDX 60 Min Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2521gdx60.png

 

GDX Daily Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2521gdxd.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

The GDX moved sideways in yesterday’s trading session, although we closed higher at 39.43!

 

Within wave *iii* we are now rallying in wave ^i^ and within wave ^i^ we continue to rally sharply higher in wave -iii-, which has a current projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 2.618-i- = 41.70     

 

Within wave -iii-, we now be rallying in wave $iii$, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

$iii$ = 1.618$i$ = 42.70.

 

On our 60 Min Intraday Chart we shown a possible internal wave count for all of wave $iii$.  This count is suggesting that all of wave !iv! of $iii$ ended 38.60, but our current wave !iii! rally appears to be too short relative to wave !i!.


Based on what we have shown the next move in this market will be higher in wave !v! to $iii$ heading to our 42.70 projected endpoint, but we do have concerns about the shortness of our current wave !iii! of $iii$.

 

The bottom line: Wave $iii$ count be subdividing even further, which is very bullish. For now we will leave this count as is but expect it will be modified.  

 

We believe our test of the 39.01 resistance level is now complete and we should now be heading higher again, to our next resistance of 41.13/41.81.

 

Longer term our first projection for the end of wave *iii* is:

 

*iii* = 1.618*i* = 78.66!           

 

Our updated projection for the end of wave -3- is:

 

3 = 2.618 (1) = 66.37.

 

We do have higher projections, however, as gold is likely heading well above $5000/oz.

 

We will be updating our long term gold charts this week (May 17th):

 

Kinross(Updated December 03):

 

We continue to rally in subdividing wave -iii- of (iii), which has an updated projection for its completion of:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 19.25.

 

Within wave -iii-, we completed wave .i. at 10.24 and are now falling in wave .ii., which has the following retracement levels:

 

50% = 7.12;

61.8% = 6.88.

 

We have now entered this retracement zone with a current low of 6.88, so we need to be on guard for the end of wave .ii., and the start of a very sharp rally in wave .iii. of -iii-.

 

Longer term our updated projection for the end of wave (iii) is:

 

(iii) = 4.25(i) = 21.55.

 

Wave -iii- and (iii) can extend higher also.

 

Barrick (Updated May 21,2021):  We are now rallying in an extending wave iii rally which has the following projection for its completion:

 

iii = 2.618i = 53.94

 

Wave iii still has along way to go and within this wave we are now rallying in wave (iii). Wave (iii) is now subdividing also, and it looks like we completed wave -i- at 31.01 and all of wave -ii- at the 18.64 low. WE are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 48.35.

 

Our current projected endpoint for all of wave (iii) is:

 

(iii) = 2.618(i) = 45.24.

 

Newmont Goldcorp: We are now rallying in (v) of iii, which has the following projected endpoint:

 

iii = 2.618i = 107.85.

 

After wave iii ends, we expect a wave iv correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entre wave iii rally.

 

HUI (Updated May 20th, 2021): We are now rallying in wave 3 which has the following projected endpoint:

 

3 = 2.618(1) = 620.32.

 

Within wave 3 we are rallying in wave iii, which has the following updated projected endpoint:

 

iii = 4.25i=644.35.

 

Within wave iii, we completed all of wave (ii) at 247.99 and we are now starting to rally higher in wave iii, which has the following projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 622.30.

 

XAU (Updated May 18, 2021): We are now rallying in wave (iii), which has the following projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 2.618(i) = 226.55.

 

Within wave (iii), we are rallying in wave -iii- which is now subdividing with wave .i. of -iii- ending at 165.36, and all of wave .ii. at the 128.08 low. We are now rallying in wave .iii., which as an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 233.83.

 

Longer term, wave -iii- has a current projected endpoint of:

                                                 

-iii- = 2.618-i- = 201.84.

 

Since wave .iii. has a higher projection then wave -iii-, we would assume that wave -iii- will move to next projected endpoint which is:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 288.57

 

Trading Recommendation: Long Term hold of all gold stocks and indices.

 

Active Positions: We remain long the GDX, ABX, KGC, NEM, SSRM, and TSX:XGD with no stops!! 

 

Gold:  

 

Daily Gold Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2521gold.png

 

Short Term Update: 

 

Gold moved sideways in yesterday’s day session and that trend has continued in the overnight session as we are currently trading at the 1881.90 level.

 

On the Intraday Chart gold appears to be working on a bullish triangle formation which is nearing completion, so if this observation is correct, we should thrust higher and very soon!

 

The end of this bullish triangle may have occurred at the 1875.70 low.                                                                                         

 

We continue to rally in and extending wave -iii- which should be heading to our next projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 1952.40.

 

On our Daily Gold Chart we have shown the likely subdivisions for all of wave -iii- and within wave -iii- we are now working on wave $iii$, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

$iii$ = 2.618$i$ = 1938.10.

 

We have also now broken above our major green downtrend line connecting 2077.90 and 1962.50. Gold has lots of resistance levels to break at these prices and our next horizontal resistance is at the 1879 level.

 

Our first projection for the end of wave ^iii^ is:

 

^iii^ = 1.618^i^ =  2687.80.

 

Longer term our current projected endpoint for all of wave *iii* is:

 

*iii* = 1.618*i* = 2306.30.

 

We have higher projections also.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops. 

 

Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops! 

 

Silver:

 

Daily Silver Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2521si.png  

Short Term Update:

 

Silver moved higher in yesterday’s day session reaching a high of 28.01.

 

In the overnight session we have moved lower reaching a low of 27.55, although we have since recovered some of those losses to currently be trading at the 27.73 level.

 

Longer term we continue to rally higher in wave (iii), which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 51.52.

 

Within wave (iii) all of wave -ii- is complete at the 23.79 low and that we are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 34.22.

 

Within wave -iii-, we are still working on wave *i*.

 

On the Intraday Chart the drop from 28.89 to 27.27 looks to be corrective, which is suggesting higher prices lie ahead once this corrective pattern ends.

 

We have failed to stay above the 28.10/28.50 resistance level on this first attempt, but we suspect that this setback will be temporary.

 

We expect our next challenge to the 28.10/28.50 resistance level will be successful and then after that we are heading to our next resistance level at 29.91/30.35.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long and using a put as a stop.

 

Active Positions: Long using a put as a stop!                                                                                                                                             

 

US 10 Year Bond Yield:

 

Daily US 10 Year Bond Yield Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2521bond.png

 

Short Term Update:                                                                      

 

The US 10 Year Bond Yield was lower in yesterday’s day session and that trend lower has continued in the overnight session as we have reached a low of 1.588%.

 

We are currently updating our US 10 Year Bond Yield Daily Chart to provide the internal wave count for all of wave (iii). We will continue to work on this.

 

US 10 Year Bond Yields made a multi-generational low at the 0.398% level and have started the long journey higher in a new bull market that will last decades. The era of low interest rates has now ended.

 

In the short term we are now rallying in wave (iii) in our first five wave impulsive sequence and within that sequence we are now rallying in wave (iii), which has an initial target of:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 1.910%. 

 

After wave (iii) ends we expect a wave (iv) correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entire wave (iii) rally.

 

It appears that much higher inflation is now coming.      

                                                                                                                                                                                       

Trading Recommendation: Flat.

                                                                                                                    

Active Positions: Flat!

 

S&P500: 

 

Daily SP500 Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2521spd.png

 

120 Minute SP500 Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2521sp120.png

 

Short Term Update:

                                                             

The SP500 was sharply higher in yesterday’s trading session reaching a high of 4209.52. In the overnight session the SP500 Futures are higher by about 15 points!

 

All of wave -v- of (iii) is now complete at 4236.39 high. We are now falling in wave (iv), which has the following retracement levels:

 

23.6% = 3889.53;

38.2% = 3674.95.

 

The expected drop in wave (iv) should be between 300 and 550 points.

 

It is still to early to determine which type of corrective pattern wave (iv) is going to develop into.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       

Trading Recommendation: Short will calls as stops.

                                                                                   

Active Positions: Short with calls as stops!

 

USDX:

 

Daily USDX Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2521usd.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

The USDX was lower in yesterday’s day session and that trend lower has continued in the overnight session as we have reached a low of 89.52.

 

We continue to fall in wave -v- and are starting to get close to our minimum target for its completion at the 89.17 low.

 

On the Intraday Chart the small rally from 89.68 to the current high of 90.28 looks corrective which is suggesting lower prices lie ahead after this corrective rally ends. We suspect it will fall much further, however.

 

Projections for the end of wave -v- are:

 

-v- = 89.17;

-v- = 1.618-i- = 84.38;

-v- = 0.618(length of wave -iii-) = 0.618(100.97-89.17) = 86.18;

-v- = 1.618(length of wave -iii-) = 1.618(100.97-89.17) = 74.38.  

 

The continuing drop in the USDX should support our rallies in gold, silver and the GDX.                           

                                                                                                        

Trading Recommendation: Flat.

 

Active Positions: Flat! 

 

Crude Oil and Suncor:

 

Daily Crude Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2521oil.png

 

 

Short Term Update:

 

Crude was sharply higher in yesterday’s day session and that trend higher has continued in the overnight session as we reached a high of 66.33.

 

Longer term we continue to rally sharply higher in wave (iii), which the following longer term projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 93.96.  

                                                                                                                                              

Wave $i$ of (iii) is now complete at the 67.98 high and we are now falling in wave $ii$ which has the following retracement levels:

 

50% = 50.81;

61.8% = 46.76.

 

Within wave $ii$, we believe that all of wave ^a^ ended at 57.25, as we continue to rally higher in an incomplete wave ^b^, although it may now be complete at the 67.00 high. After wave ^b^ ends we expect another drop in wave ^c^ to complete all of wave $ii$.

 

This current weakness is also testing the major breakout of our 12 year downtrend line that started at the 147.00 high back in 2009. We expect we will break through this downtrend line decisively to move sharply higher after wave $ii$ ends.

 

Suncor: We continue to rally in wave iii which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

iii = 1.618i = 30.28.

 

Within wave iii it now looks like wave -i- ended at 19.94 and wave -ii- at the 16.29 low.

 

We continue to rally higher in wave -iii-, which has a projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 31.29.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long crude with a put as a stop. Long Suncor.

 

Active Positions: Long crude with put as a stop! Long Suncor!                         

  

Thanks!

Captain & Crew

may 24 morning post!

Captain Ewave Morning Post!

 

Please click here for the Bob Balan Ewave Basics Handbook… which the Captain highly recommends:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Ewave-Basics.pdf

 

Don’t try to learn Ewave all in one day.  Focus on when the Captain is buying or selling, and the big wave counts.  

From there, add more detail to your study.

 

If any sub needs one-on-one help with the wave counts, just some handholding during market dips, or both, shoot us an Email we’ll work out a phone talk time slot.  Can buy a one-time slot or multi… Thanks, Captain & Crew

 

 

CDNX: 

 

CDNX Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2421cdnx.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

The CDNX was higher in Friday’s trading session reaching a high of 957.47, closing at 957.22.

 

Longer term we are continuing to rally higher in wave (i) of -iii-. Within wave (i) we believe we completed wave $i$ of (i) of -iii- at the 999.86 high.

 

If that is the case then we are now dropping in wave $ii$, which has the following retracement levels:

 

78.6% = 895.63.

 

We now need to be on guard for the completion of wave $ii$ at the 902.30 low and the start of a major rally in wave $iii$. We will provide our first projection for end of wave $iii$, when we believe all of wave $ii$ is complete.

 

Longer term all of wave -iii- has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 1592.50.

 

We should continue to rally sharply higher in wave .iii., which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 1357.04.

 

Since the current projected endpoint for wave .iii. is lower than for wave -iii-, we should expect that wave .iii. will head to our second projected endpoint which is:

 

.iii. = 2.618.i. = 1784.50.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long the GDXJ as a long-term hold.                   

 

Active Positions: Heavily long the GDXJ and key juniors on the CDNX, as a long-term hold!  

 

GDX & Gold Stocks:

 

GDX 60 Min Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2421gdx60.png

 

GDX Daily Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2421gdxd.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

The GDX moved sideways in Friday’s trading session, although we closed lower at 39.29.

 

Within wave *iii* we are now rallying in wave ^i^ and within wave ^i^ we continue to rally sharply higher in wave -iii-, which has a current projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 2.618-i- = 41.70     

 

Within wave -iii-, we now be rallying in wave $iii$, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

$iii$ = 1.618$i$ = 42.70.

 

On our 60 Min Intraday Chart we shown a possible internal wave count for all of wave $iii$.  This count is suggesting that all of wave !iv! of $iii$ ended 38.60, but our current wave !iii! rally appears to be too short relative to wave !i!.

Based on what we have shown the next move in this market will be higher in wave !v! to $iii$ heading to our 42.70 projected endpoint, but we do have concerns about the shortness of our current wave !iii! of $iii$.

 

The bottom line: Wave $iii$ count be subdividing even further, which is very bullish. For now we will leave this count as is but expect it will be modified.  

 

We believe our test of the 39.01 resistance level is now complete and we should now be heading higher again, to our next resistance of 41.13/41.81.

 

Longer term our first projection for the end of wave *iii* is:

 

*iii* = 1.618*i* = 78.66!           

 

Our updated projection for the end of wave -3- is:

 

3 = 2.618 (1) = 66.37.

 

We do have higher projections, however, as gold is likely heading well above $5000/oz.

 

We will be updating our long term gold charts this week (May 17th):

 

Kinross(Updated December 03):

 

We continue to rally in subdividing wave -iii- of (iii), which has an updated projection for its completion of:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 19.25.

 

Within wave -iii-, we completed wave .i. at 10.24 and are now falling in wave .ii., which has the following retracement levels:

 

50% = 7.12;

61.8% = 6.88.

 

We have now entered this retracement zone with a current low of 6.88, so we need to be on guard for the end of wave .ii., and the start of a very sharp rally in wave .iii. of -iii-.

 

Longer term our updated projection for the end of wave (iii) is:

 

(iii) = 4.25(i) = 21.55.

 

Wave -iii- and (iii) can extend higher also.

 

Barrick (Updated May 21,2021):  We are now rallying in an extending wave iii rally which has the following projection for its completion:

 

iii = 2.618i = 53.94

 

Wave iii still has along way to go and within this wave we are now rallying in wave (iii). Wave (iii) is now subdividing also, and it looks like we completed wave -i- at 31.01 and all of wave -ii- at the 18.64 low. WE are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 48.35.

 

Our current projected endpoint for all of wave (iii) is:

 

(iii) = 2.618(i) = 45.24.

 

Newmont Goldcorp: We are now rallying in (v) of iii, which has the following projected endpoint:

 

iii = 2.618i = 107.85.

 

After wave iii ends, we expect a wave iv correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entre wave iii rally.

 

HUI (Updated May 20th, 2021): We are now rallying in wave 3 which has the following projected endpoint:

 

3 = 2.618(1) = 620.32.

 

Within wave 3 we are rallying in wave iii, which has the following updated projected endpoint:

 

iii = 4.25i=644.35.

 

Within wave iii, we completed all of wave (ii) at 247.99 and we are now starting to rally higher in wave iii, which has the following projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 622.30.

 

XAU (Updated May 18, 2021): We are now rallying in wave (iii), which has the following projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 2.618(i) = 226.55.

 

Within wave (iii), we are rallying in wave -iii- which is now subdividing with wave .i. of -iii- ending at 165.36, and all of wave .ii. at the 128.08 low. We are now rallying in wave .iii., which as an initial projected endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 233.83.

 

Longer term, wave -iii- has a current projected endpoint of:

                                                 

-iii- = 2.618-i- = 201.84.

 

Since wave .iii. has a higher projection then wave -iii-, we would assume that wave -iii- will move to next projected endpoint which is:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 288.57

 

Trading Recommendation: Long Term hold of all gold stocks and indices.

 

Active Positions: We remain long the GDX, ABX, KGC, NEM, SSRM, and TSX:XGD with no stops!! 

 

Gold:  

 

Daily Gold Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/ewapr1621gold.png  

Short Term Update: 

 

Gold moved sideways in Friday’s day session and that trend has continued in the overnight session as we are currently trading at the 1881.90 level.

 

On the Intraday Chart gold appears to be working on a bullish triangle formation which is nearing completion, so if this observation is correct, we should thrust higher and very soon!

 

The end of this bullish triangle may have occurred at the 1875.70 low.                                                                                         

 

We continue to rally in and extending wave -iii- which should be heading to our next projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 1952.40.

 

On our Daily Gold Chart we have shown the likely subdivisions for all of wave -iii- and within wave -iii- we are now working on wave $iii$, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

$iii$ = 2.618$i$ = 1938.10.

 

We have also now broken above our major green downtrend line connecting 2077.90 and 1962.50. Gold has lots of resistance levels to break at these prices and our next horizontal resistance is at the 1879 level.

 

Our first projection for the end of wave ^iii^ is:

 

^iii^ = 1.618^i^ =  2687.80.

 

Longer term our current projected endpoint for all of wave *iii* is:

 

*iii* = 1.618*i* = 2306.30.

 

We have higher projections also.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops. 

 

Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops! 

 

Silver:

 

Daily Silver Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2421gold.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

Silver was lower in Friday’s day session reaching a low of 27.27. In the overnight session we have moved higher reaching a 27.87.

 

Longer term we continue to rally higher in wave (iii), which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 51.52.

 

Within wave (iii) all of wave -ii- is complete at the 23.79 low and that we are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 34.22.

 

Within wave -iii-, we are still working on wave *i*.

 

On the Intraday Chart the drop from 28.89 to 27.27 looks to be corrective, which I suggesting higher prices lie ahead once this corrective pattern ends.

 

We have failed to stay above the 28.10/28.50 resistance level on this first attempt, but we suspect that this setback will be temporary.

 

Our next challenge to the 28.10/28.50 resistance level will be successful and then after that we are heading to our next resistance level at 29.91/30.35.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long and using a put as a stop.

 

Active Positions: Long using a put as a stop!                                                                                                                                             

 

US 10 Year Bond Yield:

 

Daily US 10 Year Bond Yield Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2421bond.png

 

Short Term Update:                                                                      

 

The US 10 Year Bond Yield was lower in Friday’s day session reaching a low of 1.613%.

 

In the overnight session we have moved sideways currently trading at the 1.620% level.

 

We are currently updating our US 10 Year Bond Yield Daily Chart to provide the internal wave count for all of wave (iii). We will continue to work on this.

 

US 10 Year Bond Yields made a multi-generational low at the 0.398% level and have started the long journey higher in a new bull market that will last decades. The era of low interest rates has now ended.

 

In the short term we are now rallying in wave (iii) in our first five wave impulsive sequence and within that sequence we are now rallying in wave (iii), which has an initial target of:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 1.910%. 

 

After wave (iii) ends we expect a wave (iv) correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entire wave (iii) rally.

 

It appears that much higher inflation is now coming.      

                                                                                                                                                                                       

Trading Recommendation: Flat.

                                                                                                                    

Active Positions: Flat!

 

S&P500: 

 

Daily SP500 Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2421spd.png

 

120 Minute SP500 Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2421sp120.png

 

Short Term Update:

                                                             

The SP500 was initially higher in Friday’s trading session reaching a high of 4188.72, although we closed marginally lower at 4155.86.

 

In the overnight session the SP500 Futures are higher by about 18 points!

 

All of wave -v- of (iii) is now complete at 4236.39 high. We are now falling in wave (iv), which has the following retracement levels:

 

23.6% = 3889.53;

38.2% = 3674.95.

 

The expected drop in wave (iv) should be between 300 and 550 points.

 

It is still to early to determine which type of corrective pattern wave (iv) is going to develop into.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       

Trading Recommendation: Short will calls as stops.

                                                                                   

Active Positions: Short will calls as stops!

 

USDX:

 

Daily USDX Chart:  

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2421usd.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

The USDX was higher in Friday’s day session reaching ahigh of 90.16.

 

In the overnight session we have moved lower reaching a low of 89.85.

 

We continue to fall in wave -v- and are starting to get close to our minimum target for its completion at the 89.17 low.

 

On the Intraday Chart the small rally from 89.68 to the current high of 90.28 looks corrective which is suggesting lower prices lie ahead after this corrective rally ends. We suspect it will fall much further, however.

 

Projections for the end of wave -v- are:

 

-v- = 89.17;

-v- = 1.618-i- = 84.38;

-v- = 0.618(length of wave -iii-) = 0.618(100.97-89.17) = 86.18;

-v- = 1.618(length of wave -iii-) = 1.618(100.97-89.17) = 74.38.  

 

The continuing drop in the USDX should support our rallies in gold, silver and the GDX.                           

                                                                                                        

Trading Recommendation: Flat.

 

Active Positions: Flat! 

 

Crude Oil and Suncor:

 

Daily Crude Chart:

https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2421oil.png

 

Short Term Update:

 

Crude was higher in Friday’s day session and that trend higher has continued in the overnight session as we reached a high of 64.90.

 

Longer term we continue to rally sharply higher in wave (iii), which the following longer term projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 93.96.  

                                                                                                                                              

Wave $i$ of (iii) is now complete at the 67.98 high and we are now falling in wave $ii$ which has the following retracement levels:

 

50% = 50.81;

61.8% = 46.76.

 

Within wave $ii$, we believe that all of wave ^a^ ended at 57.25, as we continue to rally higher in an incomplete wave ^b^, although it may now be complete at the 67.00 high. After wave ^b^ ends we expect another drop in wave ^c^ to complete all of wave $ii$.

 

This current weakness is also testing the major breakout of our 12 year downtrend line that started at the 147.00 high back in 2009. We expect we will break through this downtrend line decisively to move sharply higher after wave $ii$ ends.

 

Suncor: We continue to rally in wave iii which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

iii = 1.618i = 30.28.

 

Within wave iii it now looks like wave -i- ended at 19.94 and wave -ii- at the 16.29 low.

 

We continue to rally higher in wave -iii-, which has a projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 31.29.

 

Trading Recommendation: Long crude with a put as a stop. Long Suncor.

 

Active Positions: Long crude with put as a stop! Long Suncor!                         

  

Thanks!

Captain & Crew

 

MAY 23 WEEKLY CHARTS POST!

CAPTAIN EWAVE LONG TERM CHARTS UPDATE!

 

Gold: 

 

Weekly Gold Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2321gold.png  

Long Term Update:

 

Gold was higher this past week reaching a high of 1891.30, closing at 1876.70!

                                                                          

We continue to rally sharply higher in wave ^iii^!

 

This past week we broke through major resistance at out red downtrend line connecting 2077.90 and 1962.50.

 

Our next resistance is at the 1880.00 level which we expect to break through this week and then after that we should be heading to the 1960.00/1965.00 resistance level.

                                                                             

Our next projected endpoint for all of wave -iii- is:

 

-iii- = 4.25-i- = 1952.40.

 

After wave -iii- ends we expect a wave -iv- correction that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entire wave -iii- rally.

 

Our initial projection for the end of wave ^iii^ is:

 

^iii^ = 1.618^i^ = 2687.80.

 

Longer term our current initial projected endpoint for all of wave *iii* is:                                                 

 

*iii* = 1.618*iii* = 2306.30.

 

We suspect that wave *iii* will likely extend since wave ^iii^ of *iii* is now projected to be higher than the current complete wave *iii* projection.     

                              

Active Positions: Long with puts as stops! 

 

Silver:

 

Weekly Silver Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2321si.png

 

Long Term Update:

 

Silver was higher past week reaching a high of 28.90, but only closing marginally higher at 27.49.  

                                                                  

Wave ii is complete at the 21.96 low and we are now rallying higher in wave iii of 3, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

iii = 1.618i = 51.52.

 

Within wave iii, we completed wave (i) at 29.91 and all of wave (ii) at the 23.74 low. We are now rallying in wave (iii) of iii, which has the following initial projected endpoint:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 34.22.

 

Expect higher prices next week.

 

Longer term our initial projection for the end of wave 3 is:

                                                             

3 = 1.618(1) = 86.50   

 

In the very long term we completed all of wave III at 49.00 in 1980 and all of wave IV at 3.55 in 1993. We are now working on wave V and within wave V we have the following count;

 

1 = 49.82;

2 = 11.64;

3 = First projection is 86.50.

 

Active Positions: Long at 14.85, with a put as a stop!

 

US 10 Year Bond Yield:

                                                                                               

Long Term Update:

 

The 10 Year US Bond Yield was lower this past week reaching a lower of 1.631%, closing just marginally lower at 1.632%.

 

It appears that the bear market in US interest is now over and it ended at the 0.398% low. Over the next couple of decades we are now rallying back to the all-time in rates that we saw in the 1980’s.

 

This multi-decade rally should be impulsive and we are now working on our very first impulsive sequence.

 

Within that impulsive sequence we are rallying in wave (iii) which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

(iii) = 1.618 (i) =1.910%.

 

We expect to move higher in the weeks ahead as we head toward the 1.910% level. We are currently working on the internal subdivision count within wave (iii). After wave (iii) ends we expect a wave (iv) drop that retraces between 23.6 to 38.2% of the entire wave (iii) rally.

 

Active Positions: Flat.

 

Crude Oil:

 

Weekly Crude Oil Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2321oil.png

 

Long Term Update:                                                                          

             

Crude was initially higher this past week reaching a high of 67.02, but we closed lower at 63.58.

 

We had a key weekly reversal lower this past week this could be suggesting that all of wave ^b^ is now complete at the 67.02 high.

 

It now looks like wave -i- is complete at the 67.98 high so we should still be falling in developing wave -ii-, which has the following retracement levels:

 

50% = 50.81

61.8% = 46.81.

 

We are also challenging our multi-year breakout of our major downtrend line. We are still short of retracement levels for our wave -ii- correction, so we still expect lower prices ahead.

 

We still expect a drop at least back to our 50% retracement level of 50.81, before all of wave -ii- ends.

 

After wave -ii- ends we expect a very sharp rally higher in wave -iii-.

 

We continue to rally in wave -i- of (iii), with all of wave (iii) having and initial projected endpoint of:

 

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 93.96.

 

In the long term we are now rallying in wave C that has the following projections:

 

C= A = 153.77;

C= 1.618A = 244.78.

 

Suncor:                                                                   

 

Weekly Suncor Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/2021may23su.png

 

Long Term Update:

 

Suncor was initially higher this past week reaching a high of 24.34, but we closed marginally lower at 23.15!

 

We continue to rally sharply higher in wave iii. Our initial projection for the end of wave iii is:

 

iii = 1.618i = 30.73.

 

Within wave (i) of iii it looks like wave -i- ended at the 19.94 and likely all of wave -ii- at the 16.29 low. If that is the case then we should now be rallying sharply higher in wave -iii-, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- = 1.618-i-=31.29.

 

Active Positions: Long crude, with puts as a stop. Long Suncor!                         

 

SP500:

 

Weekly SP500 Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay23sp.png

 

Long Term Update:

 

The SP500 was initially higher this past week reaching a high of 4188.72, but we closed lower at 4155.86.

 

From the 3723.34 low we have now completed the minimum requirements for a completed 5 wave impulsive sequence at the 4238.04 high, and we are now working on the assumption that all of wave (iii) of v is complete at that high.

 

We should therefore be falling in wave (iv), which has the following retracement levels;

 

23.6% = 3889.53;

38.2% = 3674.95.

 

It is too early to determine which type of corrective pattern wave (iv) is going to become.

 

Active Positions: Short with calls as stops!

 

USDX:

 

Weekly USDX Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2321usd.png

 

Long Term Update:

 

The USDX was lower this past week reaching a low of 89.63, closing at 90.00.

 

Wave -iv- is now complete at the 93.47 high, so we should now be heading lower in wave -v-.

 

 Expect further losses, with a drop to at least the 88.15 low.

 

Active Positions: Flat!

 

CDNX: 

 

Weekly CDNX Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay2321cdnx.png

 

Long Term Update:

 

The CDNX was higher this past reaching a high of 957.47, closing at 957.22!

 

It appears that wave $ii$ is now complete at the 902.36 low. If that is the case then we should start to rally sharply higher in wave $iii$. We will provide your first projections for the end of wave $iii$, when we believe all of the wave $ii$ is complete.

 

Longer term we continue to rally sharply higher in wave .iii. which has an initial endpoint of:

 

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 1357.02    

 

Wave .iii. is now subdividing and if that is the case then we should now be rallying sharply higher in wave -iii- of .iii. Our initial projected endpoint for all of wave -iii- is:

 

-iii- =1.618-i- = 1592.50.                           

 

Our minimum long term target for the end of wave C is 3341.56.

 

Active Positions: Long the GDXJ, for a long term hold.

 

GDX: 

 

Weekly GDX Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay23gdx.png  

 

Long Term Update:

 

The GDX was higher this past week reaching a high of 40.13, closing at 39.29!

 

We to rally sharply higher in wave *iii*, which has the following projected endpoint:

 

*iii* = 1.618*i*= 78.63.

 

Within wave *iii*  we are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has the following extended projected endpoint of:

 

-iii- =2.618-i- = 41.70.

 

It now looks like wave -iii- is subdividing with wave $i$ ending at 36.84, and all of wave $ii$ just short of our 50% retracement level at 34.31. We are now rallying in wave $iii$, which has the following initial project endpoint:

 

$iii$ = 1.618$i$ = 42.70.

 

Expect higher prices next week.

 

Our current projection for the end of 3 is:

 

3 = 2.618 (-1-) = 66.37.                               

 

We do have higher targets also.

 

Active Positions: We are long the GDX, ABX, KGC, NEM, SSSR, and TSX:XGD… with no stops and we added to our long positions at 31.50!

 

Bitcoin: 

  

Weekly Bitcoin Chart: https://captainewave.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/ewmay1221bit.png

Long Term Update:

 

Bitcoin collapsed this past week reaching a low of 29925, closing at 33576!

 

All of wave 1 or A is officially complete at the 64860 high. We are now falling in wave 2 of B which has the following retracement levels:

 

50% = 32430;

61.8% = 24777.

 

We have already entered our retracement zone for all of wave 2 or B, but we doubt that it is complete so quickly.

 

On the Daily Chart it looks like form the 64860 high we are falling in an impulsive sequence which does NOT look to be complete at the 29925 low.

 

We need one more drop below that low to satisfy all of the minimum requirement for our first impulsive sequence to be complete.

 

After that happens we would have completed of wave (a). After wave (a) ends we expect a wave (b) rally that retraces between 50 to 61.8% of the entire wave (a) drop. After wave (b) end we expect one more drop in wave (c) to complete all of wave 2 or B.

 

We have graphically shown our suggested path for all of wave 2 or B on our Bitcoin Weekly Chart!

 

Thanks,

Captain & Crew